Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.115993 1.356307 1.664384 2.101001 2.726827 3.632595e+00 5.133142
2025-07-06 0.789862 1.046855 1.425570 2.066603 3.232745 5.571569e+00 11.962458
2025-07-13 0.663770 0.936099 1.381583 2.254430 4.240057 1.001518e+01 46.043964
2025-07-20 0.573143 0.843594 1.320175 2.364932 5.246675 1.770299e+01 464.522330
2025-07-27 0.497833 0.754092 1.229391 2.360073 5.999534 2.935976e+01 NaN
2025-08-03 0.435021 0.671838 1.126791 2.274145 6.433987 4.537969e+01 NaN
2025-08-10 0.397211 0.626854 1.085958 2.325997 7.552903 9.926626e+01 NaN
2025-08-17 0.370716 0.597763 1.070337 2.442321 9.320682 3.927307e+02 NaN
2025-08-24 0.341777 0.559071 1.023855 2.443278 10.566771 2.987073e+03 NaN
2025-08-31 0.312565 0.515749 0.957651 2.350565 11.055336 9.370889e+06 NaN
2025-09-07 0.297266 0.498352 0.949344 2.458662 13.743355 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.279627 0.473794 0.918430 2.469928 15.765971 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.260248 0.443938 0.870200 2.398516 16.794842 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.244058 0.419295 0.831730 2.354515 18.336745 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.238626 0.417131 0.852109 2.582042 27.250690 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.230421 0.407847 0.851286 2.716891 37.623187 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.219223 0.390649 0.825048 2.710923 44.580268 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.206689 0.369313 0.783706 2.605952 46.199242 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.199257 0.359012 0.773171 2.669248 61.263994 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.194027 0.353284 0.775301 2.811732 96.419978 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.186354 0.341125 0.755867 2.812907 123.664921 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.177169 0.324703 0.721056 2.699286 126.212744 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.173069 0.320081 0.722698 2.831801 229.954721 NaN NaN